lined with silver: the goodness of fit

Conservative pundits hate Nate Silver, but rhetoric as the election proved, is no match for science. And polling is a science and Silver nailed it. He has changed the optic on how we take the pulse of our politics and the whens and hows of measurement. Basically, its difficult to defeat the incumbent and the war chest was too huge to overcome. But the election did expose, extraneous to the Silver polling, that there are very different philosophies at work in America and that neither group is standing up to the standards one would associate with each style whether the liberal or the conservative. The former are moving towards a kind of slippery slope of some variant of socialism and hard core leftism while the madness of the conservatives is reaching out to grab the paw of fascism at its fringes.

The old differentiators between power and control driven perceptions and profiles of the party affiliation has been muddied by opportunism and absence of patriotism. The two parties have failed the electorate mightily and the best solution may be to implode the two and create new ones from scratch where we know liberals run one and conservatives the other;  as it is, the nation is a goner and despite some cosmetic nuances between them, an election is akin to selecting between two brands of breakfast cereal when the electorate is holding deep-seated and profound differences regarding political vision….

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The tendency of the one to speak up and the other to be silent starts off a spiraling process which increasingly establishes one opinion as the dominant one. Over time, these changing perceptions establish one opinion as predominant one and they change from the liquid state to a solid norm.

–The Spiral of Silence, Wikipedia.

( see link at end)…Each election is the same; each, and every election is different.

People of “good math and statistics” are simply trying to gander, gauge, and guess an intent of voters while another set seeks non-math certitude.

Cut the psephological Nate Silvers of the world some major Gaussian slack. They took the courses you couldn’t cut.

The stat crew is getting drowned by the certitude of the second-rate. Call it the spiral of certitude. Read More:

(see link at end)…Our early patriots were willing to risk life and limb… provided they controlled the risks taken (a trait among all Actives… the reason in 2012 the Obama Administration is unable to get new jobs created; he wants to dictate the risks independent business owners will take.. and they want none of it)…

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… Passives are people who come by wealth by allowing others to manage risk of loss for them. Rather than managing the risk of running their own businesses, they become part of a big corporation, for example. Thus, most teachers, professors, corporate executives (yes, even Lee Iacocca… he didn’t lend/risk his own money to save Chrysler; he risked the money of taxpayers), bureaucrats, media types – are Passives.

One good example of the differences between these two groups is their investment habits. Actives invest in themselves… in their ideas, in their businesses. Passives invest in the stock market or their partnership with other CPAs and lawyers (Actives usually have their own, independent practices). Passives create investment products that spread (rather than manage) risk… hedge funds and mutual funds (and life insurance).

…Why am I revisiting this subject? Because most Americans feel the fight between one group and the other; many consider it a fight between good and evil (and it is). Others consider it a fight between political parties (and it is). Still others see it as a fight between freedom and slavery (and it is)….

“smashing bourgeois inclinations” the new cultural revolution….Read More:

In truth, it is a fight between the preferred lifestyles of Actives (who are motivated by control) and Passives (who are motivated by power). Actives want to control their own destinies (which is why they invest the majority of assets in themselves – something they can control – not the stock or bond markets). Security-motivated Passives invest in stocks and bonds, insurance, hedge and mutual funds – things controlled by others which spread the potential risk of loss. Most people think power and control are the same things. They are not. Control is something one does behind one’s own nose; power is something one exercises behind the noses of others. …Read More:

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